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Asteroid apophis: april 2029 close call and controversy

Asteroid Apophis | April 2029 Close Call Sparks Mixed Reactions

By

Maria Gomez

Sep 4, 2025, 09:03 AM

Edited By

Ethan Larson

Updated

Sep 4, 2025, 04:23 PM

2 minutes of reading

Asteroid Apophis flying close to Earth in April 2029, with Earth in the background and a clear sky.

April 2029 is shaping up to be a critical moment for Earth, as asteroid Apophis is expected to fly within 19,000 miles of our communications satellites. While the odds of a collision are estimated at 1 in 2 billion, skepticism remains among both scientists and the public, igniting fresh debates on potential risks.

History of Concern

In 2004, Apophis was flagged as a potential threat, but later assessments ruled out an impact thanks to advancements in tracking technology. Despite previous retractions, many people still worry about the accuracy of these predictions, especially with the 2029 flyby approaching. One commentator stated, "The margin for error seems a little too close to be that certain it won't hit." Statistics reveal Apophis has undergone extensive observation, with over 9,000 optical observations and 50 radar observations collected over the past 18 years.

Diverging Scientific Opinions

Opinions are split. American scientists express confidence in the low risk of impact, while some Chinese researchers show heightened concern. Notably, a commentator pointed out, "What if they really meant one (billion) in two billion?" This sentiment reflects ongoing fears regarding potential cover-ups about the asteroid's true risk. Interestingly, Chinese scientists are planning multiple probes to observe Apophis in 2029, focusing on its trajectory rather than preparing for a defensive response to a threat.

Billionaires and Bunkers

In a twist, wealthy individuals are reportedly building underground bunkers, stirring speculation about a cover-up concerning Apophis. One observer quipped, "When you are stupid rich, you can start mitigating for 1 in 2 billion odds." This trend leads to a surge in conspiracy theories, with many people pondering whether the government is hiding crucial information in order to avoid mass panic.

The Public's Pulse

Public reaction is a mix of skepticism and lingering fear. Some folks dismiss the warnings, with comments like:

  • "Yes, itโ€™s going to miss Earth. More likely to impact the moon."

  • "Caveman instincts die hard."

Yet, the overarching sentiment reflects a deep unease about the risks associated with Apophis. As the date draws closer, many are left to wonder what is truly at stake.

Key Insights

  • ๐ŸŒŒ Asteroid will fly within 19,000 miles of Earth in April 2029.

  • โš–๏ธ 1 in 2 billion chance of collision, leading to skepticism among people.

  • ๐Ÿ  Billionaires are building bunkers, raising questions about transparency.

  • ๐ŸŒ Chinese scientists' concerns grow, signaling a clear divide from American viewpoints.

Are We Prepared?

As we approach this significant event, anxiety mixes with anticipation regarding the outcome. Experts assert a roughly 99.99995% probability of no collision. However, the divide between scientists from different countries suggests that the debate will intensify. With fears fueling public interest in space and science, April 2029 could mark the beginning of new discussions surrounding planetary defense.